As the Premier League season reaches its conclusion, Wolves and Brentford prepare to face off at Molineux in a match that, while lacking title implications, holds significant weight for both sides.
Brentford’s Final Push for a Historic Finish
Brentford enter the final day still clinging to the slimmest of hopes for European football. After a dramatic 3-2 defeat to Fulham in their last outing, their path to eighth place potentially good enough for UEFA Conference League qualification, requires not just victory over Wolves, but a Tottenham win over Brighton. The odds are long, but not impossible.
The Bees are projected to finish ninth in nearly 45% of end-of-season simulations, with top-ten placement still very much within reach. A finish of eighth, while just an 11.6% possibility, would mark their best-ever Premier League result.
Adding to the stakes, both Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa are sitting on 19 goals each. A goal for either would mark a milestone season, and both finding the net would put them in elite company as the first Premier League duo to hit 20 goals apiece for the same team since Salah and Mané in 2018–19.
Wolves Eye a Strong Finish Amid Slump
Wolves, meanwhile, aim to stop the bleeding after three straight defeats, including a 4-2 loss to Crystal Palace earlier this week. With a best possible finish of 14th, they’ll be motivated to avoid slipping further down the table. Historically, the final matchday has not been kind to them; they’ve lost each of their last seven season-enders by an aggregate score of 19–2.
Despite the rough patch, Wolves can lean on the form of striker Jorgen Strand Larsen. The Norwegian forward has hit his stride late in the season, scoring seven of his 14 league goals in his last eight appearances.
Players to Watch
- Jorgen Strand Larsen (Wolves): The most prolific Premier League scorer since March, he’s ended the season in red-hot form.
- Bryan Mbeumo (Brentford): With speculation around his future mounting, Mbeumo may look to end his season and potentially his Brentford chapter on a high note.
Prediction: Entertaining Draw on the Cards
Both teams have shown attacking intent throughout the season, with 121 goals each in their matches, third only to Liverpool and Tottenham. That attacking trend, coupled with Wolves’ poor closing-day record and Brentford’s streaky end-of-season form, points to a high-scoring draw as the likeliest outcome.
Opta Win Probability:
Final Prediction: Brentford 2–1 Wolves
