As the Premier League season draws to a close, Newcastle United find themselves one win away from a return to the Champions League. Hosting a mid-table Everton side with little at stake, the Magpies enter the final fixture at St James’ Park with both momentum and motivation firmly on their side.
Home Turf Advantage
Newcastle’s home form has been the bedrock of their impressive campaign. With 38 points from 18 games at St James’ Park, Eddie Howe’s men have consistently delivered on Tyneside. Their recent form is equally convincing, six consecutive home victories, each featuring multiple goals scored, underline their attacking prowess and tenacity in front of their own fans.
Everton’s Flat Finish
Everton arrives with far less urgency. Their Premier League status and league position are secured, and with a major stadium transition looming, their focus may already be shifting toward the future. Although David Moyes’ side is unbeaten in three matches, their away form tells a less optimistic story Just two wins from their last five on the road, coupled with a scoring average of under one goal per game, reflects a blunt edge away from Goodison Park.
Statistical Outlook
The data paints a clear picture. Newcastle have beaten Everton in three of their last four home encounters, frequently shutting the visitors out. While they face a few injury questions, notably concerning leading scorer Alexander Isak, they’ve only drawn a blank twice at home this season. Their attacking depth remains a threat regardless of personnel.
Everton’s defensive vulnerabilities, exacerbated by injuries, could be a decisive factor. Conceding frequently on the road and generating a modest expected goals tally of just 1.17 away from home, they may struggle to resist a Newcastle side with everything to play for.
Tactical Edge
Expect Newcastle to press high and dominate possession, aiming to convert early chances to ease nerves. Everton’s defensive organization might keep them competitive for stretches, but with nothing tangible on the line, sustaining concentration for 90 minutes could prove difficult.
Final Prediction:
